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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.71+2.10vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.50+0.56vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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5.81California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 33.1% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 19.0% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Owen Lahr | 15.3% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 24.4% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 11.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| George Soliman | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.