← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.77+1.46vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.22vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.57vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.95vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.94-1.27vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.54vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-1.22vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.71-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.50-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
-
3.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.73University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
-
6.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.78California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.57University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 34.5% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 18.8% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Owen Lahr | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| George Soliman | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| Kyle Farmer | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.