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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.71+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77-0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94-1.26vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.34vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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2.47Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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5.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 17.3% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 34.9% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Owen Lahr | 15.6% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Kyle Farmer | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.