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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.94+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.06vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.77-1.58vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.36vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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2.42Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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5.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 22.6% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Justin Lim | 34.6% | 26.8% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| George Soliman | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 26.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.