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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.85vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.19vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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2.53Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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5.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 23.8% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 30.8% | 27.7% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Lahr | 15.1% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 7.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 59.7% |
| George Soliman | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.