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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+0.82vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.09vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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5.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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5.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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6.58University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 34.0% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 19.6% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Owen Lahr | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 26.8% |
| Noah Barton | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.