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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.33vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.89vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-3.31-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.8California Poly Maritime Academy-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 56.1% | 25.4% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.8% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.4% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.6% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 0.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 56.2% | 8.6% |
| Florence Duff | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 30.0% | 20.2% | 1.9% |
| Cianna Coyle | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 7.6% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.