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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.35vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.81vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-3.31-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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1.73Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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3.47University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.35University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.81California Poly Maritime Academy-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 13.5% | 19.2% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 54.0% | 27.8% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.0% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 57.2% | 9.5% |
| Florence Duff | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 0.5% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| Cianna Coyle | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 6.6% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.