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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.44vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+7.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+6.24vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.83vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+3.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+3.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.71vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+2.95vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-1.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.89vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-5.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.92vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.97-7.61vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-8.01vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-5.06vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.11-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Cornell University2.3811.7%1st Place
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3.3Stanford University3.3025.8%1st Place
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8.7Brown University1.334.3%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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10.16North Carolina State University1.264.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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12.95Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston1.264.0%1st Place
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12.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.9%1st Place
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7.76Jacksonville University-1.387.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island0.993.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University1.976.5%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida1.606.2%1st Place
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11.94University of Wisconsin0.701.6%1st Place
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13.83University of Washington0.111.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.8% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.