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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58-2.30vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.82vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.64vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-3.31-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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1.7Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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5.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.81California Poly Maritime Academy-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.8% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.3% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 54.5% | 27.6% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.4% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 30.6% | 17.4% | 1.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 59.3% | 9.4% |
| Cianna Coyle | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 7.9% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.