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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+3.25vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+0.82vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.85+2.67vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-1.18vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70-1.14vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.35+0.59vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.44-0.51vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.50vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.30-2.28vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.57-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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2.82Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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5.67Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.82Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.86Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.59Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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7.5Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.72Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.29Northwestern University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 26.9% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.6% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 14.6% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 22.9% | 21.6% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 11.1% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.