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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+2.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+0.93vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-1.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.85+0.56vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.30+0.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.44-0.50vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.35-1.40vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.45vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.57-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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4.31University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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3.93Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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2.79Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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5.56Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.68Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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6.5Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.6Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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7.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.29Northwestern University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 27.4% | 25.4% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| matthew Monts | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 26.9% | 24.2% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 11.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 21.6% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.