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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.83vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+0.77vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+0.30vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.35+1.54vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.57+2.21vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.58vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.85-2.39vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.44-2.57vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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2.77Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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3.99Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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4.3University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.54Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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8.21Northwestern University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.58Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.43Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.75Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 28.1% | 23.7% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 28.1% | 24.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 14.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 9.8% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 41.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 8.6% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.