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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.81vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+0.78vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+0.95vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51-0.78vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.85-0.47vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.61vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.35-1.42vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.57-0.71vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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2.78Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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3.95Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.53Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.58Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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8.29Northwestern University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.74Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 27.9% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 27.2% | 23.7% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 8.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 23.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 42.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.