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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.59vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+8.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+6.78vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+6.37vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+2.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+2.88vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.30+0.98vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.37+4.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-3.70vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.48-5.92vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.68-7.84vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-4.82vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-6.34vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.16-8.60vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-1.49vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.52-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.6%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.376.6%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University1.442.4%1st Place
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11.37Eckerd College0.853.1%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.136.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.424.1%1st Place
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8.98Webb Institute1.304.8%1st Place
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13.62Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.4010.2%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.3%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University2.4810.0%1st Place
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5.16Tulane University2.6814.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.5%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University1.795.2%1st Place
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7.4University of Pennsylvania2.168.1%1st Place
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15.51University of Michigan-0.260.5%1st Place
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14.87Connecticut College0.520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 39.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 21.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.