← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.15+1.25vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.97+0.39vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.75-0.38vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire1.65-0.11vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.67-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Babson College-1.34-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
-
2.39Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
-
2.62Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
-
3.89University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.97Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
-
5.88Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 32.0% | 30.8% | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Ian Donahue | 30.5% | 26.6% | 22.8% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| James Altreuter | 23.7% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 20.8% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Edwards | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 40.9% | 2.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 28.1% | 39.8% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.