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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+5.41vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.30vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+5.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+4.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.00vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60-0.84vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38-2.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-0.91vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.02vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-0.80vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-4.70vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.81vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-1.39-3.69vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.70-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.976.5%1st Place
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5.3Cornell University2.3812.8%1st Place
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3.37Stanford University3.3025.7%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.048.6%1st Place
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11.81Old Dominion University0.952.1%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.9%1st Place
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8.16University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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7.88Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston1.453.3%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University0.932.4%1st Place
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7.98University of Pennsylvania1.725.7%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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10.3North Carolina State University1.262.9%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
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13.31University of Washington-1.391.4%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.7% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 19.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Emily Smith | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 19.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.