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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.73vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+0.69vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+0.09vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.57+2.75vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.85-0.71vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.44-0.86vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.35-1.74vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.54+0.10vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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2.69Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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3.82Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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4.09University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.75Northwestern University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.29Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.14Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.26Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.1Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 29.0% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 28.3% | 24.7% | 19.8% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 14.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 31.3% | 19.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Julian Drake | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 17.4% | 63.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.