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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mateo Rodriguez 30.8% 24.5% 16.9% 12.7% 7.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 28.2% 21.8% 21.1% 14.0% 8.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Chambers 3.1% 4.7% 6.3% 8.4% 8.5% 15.2% 18.3% 19.2% 12.6% 3.7%
Joe Seiffert 3.1% 4.5% 6.0% 9.4% 12.0% 16.5% 18.2% 16.3% 10.6% 3.4%
matthew Monts 14.1% 18.2% 16.2% 18.0% 16.4% 8.0% 5.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Stefanos Pappas 7.0% 7.0% 10.2% 9.9% 14.6% 18.2% 15.2% 12.0% 5.0% 0.9%
Zachariah Schemel 9.8% 14.5% 15.6% 18.1% 16.7% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Aviva Kaplan 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 6.9% 11.6% 17.7% 29.4% 19.9%
Brandon DePalma 2.2% 2.7% 4.2% 4.1% 8.0% 10.6% 14.8% 20.9% 23.0% 9.5%
Julian Drake 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 7.4% 17.2% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.