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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+6.49vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+6.02vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.17vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+5.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.70+4.95vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+3.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-2.74vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-8.74vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.53vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.45-4.75vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.02vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Roger Williams University1.976.5%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania1.725.0%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.3811.4%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.3%1st Place
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10.11North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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7.89Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin0.702.0%1st Place
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11.12George Washington University0.932.6%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.048.6%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University3.3027.7%1st Place
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11.63Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island0.992.2%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston1.453.1%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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13.36Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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13.26University of Washington-1.391.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.7% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.