← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.08+3.28vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.97+0.82vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.37+0.84vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.61-0.61vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College-0.17+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.75-2.85vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.01-0.78vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-1.01-1.25vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-2.72-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.28Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.82Florida State University1.970.3%1st Place
-
3.84University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
3.39Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
6.41Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
3.15Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.22Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.75Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
9.51Northwestern University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 25.7% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 17.7% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 22.8% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Annslee Maloy | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 32.9% | 8.3% |
| Sydney Leon | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 33.0% | 10.7% |
| Prabhav Jain | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.