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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Meagher 28.9% 22.2% 17.8% 14.0% 8.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 17.0% 19.3% 17.2% 17.4% 14.7% 8.3% 4.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 6.2% 8.3% 14.5% 20.3% 22.2% 13.3% 4.1%
Humberto Porrata 13.4% 13.5% 18.4% 17.6% 16.6% 12.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Gordon Gurnell 20.4% 21.9% 19.7% 15.8% 11.9% 6.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Asher Green 10.6% 12.5% 13.7% 15.1% 16.6% 17.0% 9.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
KA Hamner 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 6.8% 12.9% 17.8% 21.8% 17.6% 9.1% 2.7%
Annslee Maloy 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 9.2% 12.8% 21.6% 28.3% 15.2%
Sydney Leon 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.7% 7.7% 14.4% 19.8% 28.5% 18.3%
Austin Porras 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 5.6% 9.9% 18.5% 59.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.