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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.28vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+3.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.97vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.93vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+2.23vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65+4.08vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.26-0.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-1.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.11-0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-2.88vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.01vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Stanford University3.3026.4%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University2.3811.4%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.049.0%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University1.977.8%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida1.605.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Pennsylvania1.726.0%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University-1.384.9%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston1.452.9%1st Place
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13.08Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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9.97North Carolina State University1.263.9%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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13.78University of Washington0.110.9%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin0.701.6%1st Place
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11.81Old Dominion University0.952.7%1st Place
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12.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.4%1st Place
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11.28George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.4% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 23.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.