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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+1.86vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+3.51vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01+2.15vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.02+4.00vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.01+1.73vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.74vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.75-4.95vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97-6.25vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.70-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.51Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.15Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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9.0Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.73Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.74Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.05Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
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2.75Florida State University1.970.3%1st Place
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4.89Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 20.2% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 4.3% |
| KA Hamner | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
| Austin Porras | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 60.8% |
| Sydney Leon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 30.5% | 16.9% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 27.1% | 15.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 21.7% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 27.6% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.