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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.23vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.75+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.60vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-3.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02+1.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.65-0.48vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.79+0.91vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.87+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.12-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.77Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
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2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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9.79University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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12.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 9.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 28.5% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 26.9% |
| Marie Friauf | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 30.2% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.