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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-2.79+10.19vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.97+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.02+5.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+1.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.70vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+1.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.02vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75-3.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58-5.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.65-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.12-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.2%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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3.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.2%1st Place
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9.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.5Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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9.46University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 32.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 26.0% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Farago | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.