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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.97+5.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.84vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.02+6.33vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+3.07vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+0.13vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.60vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.65-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+0.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.12-2.20vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-9.70vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.79-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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10.33University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.4Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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9.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 25.1% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.8% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 26.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.