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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+4.84vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.02+7.26vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.65+2.20vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.79+3.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+1.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.12-1.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-8.32vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.75-7.64vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
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9.2University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.36Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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9.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Kisling | 27.4% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
| Samuel Groom | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 33.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 25.4% |
| Christopher Farago | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.