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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.97+4.18vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.91vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.11vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.91vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.65+1.18vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.12-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.79-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.2%1st Place
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2.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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5.91Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 18.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 29.2% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Martin | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.