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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.42vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+4.09vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+2.42vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.13vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.02+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.65-1.78vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.79-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.12-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.42Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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4.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.87University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 26.8% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Farago | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 37.0% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 24.7% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.