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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+5.38vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+7.22vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+6.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.04-0.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.04vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93+0.28vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65+1.44vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.11-0.31vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-3.37vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-8.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.22vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.45-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University3.3024.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.977.2%1st Place
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10.22North Carolina State University1.263.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University2.3812.4%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.048.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.046.3%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.3%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania1.726.5%1st Place
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11.28George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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13.44Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Wisconsin0.701.7%1st Place
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13.69University of Washington0.111.8%1st Place
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11.63Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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7.91Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.7%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston1.453.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.0% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Green | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 19.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 26.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.