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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+1.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.75+0.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15-0.81vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.65-0.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.67-1.04vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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2.61Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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2.19Roger Williams University3.150.4%1st Place
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3.89University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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3.96Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.88Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 26.0% | 29.3% | 23.4% | 15.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| James Altreuter | 24.7% | 24.4% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 35.2% | 27.7% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 7.7% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 25.7% | 40.5% | 2.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 40.0% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.