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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.68+2.76vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+2.58vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.71+2.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.05+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.32+2.34vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-3.86vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.28+1.90vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-6.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-4.63vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-3.78-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-3.16-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.2%1st Place
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4.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
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7.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.53University of California at San Diego-1.710.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.2%1st Place
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10.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.280.0%1st Place
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9.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.1%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.85Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 19.3% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Briar | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dante Massaro | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelli Wilkes | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 21.8% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 8.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Gillian Cate | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 42.1% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.