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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.68+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.05+5.25vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78+6.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.71+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.32+3.37vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+0.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-4.81vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.28+0.95vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-5.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-3.16-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-5.72vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-3.78-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at San Diego-0.680.2%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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9.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at San Diego-1.710.1%1st Place
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8.37University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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4.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
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7.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.2%1st Place
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10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.280.0%1st Place
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5.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.85Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 20.5% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 8.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 5.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 12.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dante Massaro | 16.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelli Wilkes | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| Nathan Briar | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 18.3% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.