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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.56vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+6.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.79+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+0.88vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.32+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.07+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.70-4.77vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.72-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.50-2.95vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.55-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.39University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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6.78Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Berkeley0.070.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
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7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.38University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 6.8% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Cremers | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Grant Janov | 26.7% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 8.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.