← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.18vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.79+3.15vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.57vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.07+3.44vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.64-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.41vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.32-1.37vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+1.20vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-0.50vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.72-1.26vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.77vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.50-4.03vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
-
5.15University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.57University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
4.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
5.83University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
-
6.63Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
-
10.2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
-
9.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
-
9.74University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.23University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 27.8% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 11.4% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.