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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.75+1.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+0.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+0.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.65-1.01vs Predicted
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6Babson College-1.34-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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2.21Roger Williams University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.83Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.42Boston College2.970.3%1st Place
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3.99University of New Hampshire1.650.1%1st Place
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5.89Babson College-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 22.0% | 25.6% | 25.6% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 34.5% | 29.0% | 21.3% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 28.1% | 38.2% | 1.9% |
| Ian Donahue | 28.6% | 25.8% | 25.9% | 14.9% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Edwards | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 26.3% | 41.2% | 3.9% |
| Adrian Herr | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 93.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.