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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+10.46vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+8.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+4.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.29vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+8.00vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.70+4.88vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+3.16vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38-1.36vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.96-2.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-5.10vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-3.94vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.04-8.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-6.86vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.46Old Dominion University0.952.8%1st Place
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10.01North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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13.0Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University2.1914.3%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin0.702.8%1st Place
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11.16George Washington University0.933.2%1st Place
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7.64Jacksonville University-1.387.8%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University1.968.7%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Pennsylvania1.727.3%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida1.607.0%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston1.454.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.0410.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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13.07University of Washington-1.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 18.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Emily Allen | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Emily Smith | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.