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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.66+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+0.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.64+2.93vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.17vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.10-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-0.09vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.93-2.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.90-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.23-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.5University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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8.31Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 32.0% | 23.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Noah Barton | 11.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Max Case | 12.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 28.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| samson grunwald | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 24.1% |
| Max Lawall | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.