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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+2.37vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.90+5.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+4.83vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.68vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.10-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.93-0.20vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+0.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.23-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.90-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.66-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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4.37University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.52Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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4.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 31.0% | 24.1% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Max Case | 12.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 27.4% |
| samson grunwald | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 25.5% |
| Max Lawall | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.