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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+2.32vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.38+2.07vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.66+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+0.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.90-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-3.22vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.23-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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4.32University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.63Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley-0.660.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 31.9% | 24.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Max Case | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| samson grunwald | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 25.6% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 25.4% |
| Max Lawall | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.