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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.90+6.35vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50-0.45vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90+2.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.23+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93+0.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.48vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California-0.38-3.01vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.64-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.66-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.55University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.65Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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10.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 34.1% | 22.8% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Max Case | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| Noah Barton | 12.0% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Max Lawall | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 28.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.