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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.10+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+0.51vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.90+3.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.66+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.90+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.23-0.31vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.93-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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6.11University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.69Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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7.87University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Case | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 31.1% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barton | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Zack Taylor | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Max Lawall | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 27.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| samson grunwald | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 23.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.