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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.16vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+11.03vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.69vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+3.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+6.00vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+1.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.19-1.95vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.26+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+1.20vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-0.98vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.96-5.11vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.39+0.03vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.60-7.34vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.63vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.32vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy2.048.9%1st Place
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13.03Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania1.726.9%1st Place
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7.58Jacksonville University-1.387.6%1st Place
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11.0George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.979.2%1st Place
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5.05Stanford University2.1915.0%1st Place
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10.01North Carolina State University1.263.6%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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8.43Brown University1.336.0%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston1.454.3%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.9610.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Washington-1.391.8%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin0.702.6%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida1.607.7%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University0.952.3%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 18.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 20.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.