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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.01vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+6.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+2.47vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+2.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-3.12vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-2.80vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.39-4.94vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-0.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-2.04vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.56vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-5.41vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.07-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.6Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.88Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.05Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.96Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.34Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Corey Hall | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 20.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 19.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.