← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.09+1.25vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.51+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University1.34+0.26vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.54-1.15vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel1.11-1.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Georgia-1.79+1.85vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-1.43+0.43vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-2.85vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.78-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
-
6.24University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
-
3.26Clemson University1.340.2%1st Place
-
2.85North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
-
3.5The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
-
5.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
-
6.47The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 36.0% | 28.3% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 26.2% | 16.6% | 7.7% |
| William Turner | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.7% | 22.6% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 14.7% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 24.4% | 47.6% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 29.9% | 30.9% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 22.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Robert Prause | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 25.7% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.