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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+1.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.02vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+6.01vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.17vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.28vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.22-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-4.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-4.49vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-3.50vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.07-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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13.01Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.5Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.37Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Corey Hall | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 24.1% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.