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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+3.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26+5.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.42+3.51vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+3.90vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.47vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-2.32vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.33-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-5.08vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.11-3.40vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University1.979.3%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy2.048.7%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University1.969.8%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University1.264.8%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University1.426.8%1st Place
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7.15Jacksonville University-1.388.7%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston1.455.7%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.606.1%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania1.728.8%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.336.9%1st Place
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11.49University of Wisconsin0.703.5%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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12.73Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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13.6University of Washington0.111.6%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Alice Schmid | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Allen | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 25.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.