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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+2.81vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+1.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.09-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-1.79+4.78vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University0.10+0.57vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.78+1.18vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.34-3.52vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.51-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.43-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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3.19North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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2.4College of Charleston2.090.3%1st Place
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8.78University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.57Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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7.18The Citadel-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.48Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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6.75University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.24University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.3% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 34.2% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 20.9% | 48.9% |
| Johnny Perkins | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Prause | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 9.7% |
| William Turner | 14.7% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 6.6% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 26.6% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.