← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.12+0.85vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.19+3.22vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.20+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Wake Forest University0.68-0.34vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.20-0.53vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-0.40vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.79-3.52vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina-2.08+0.09vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-3.34+0.39vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-1.98-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85College of Charleston2.120.5%1st Place
-
5.22North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.66Wake Forest University0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.47The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
-
3.48Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
8.09University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
-
7.99The Citadel-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 51.9% | 26.2% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Travers | 10.6% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Polk Baggett | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 13.5% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.8% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 26.2% | 35.3% | 15.6% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 69.2% |
| Edwin McAlister | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 26.0% | 35.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.