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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.56+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.07+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.19+1.32vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-1.76+2.97vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-1.71+1.85vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.95+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.52-2.05vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.88-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Jacksonville University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.01Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
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4.32University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.97Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.85Florida State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.36Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.0Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Miami0.880.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 22.9% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 22.7% | 28.8% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 23.1% | 26.4% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 25.5% | 36.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Josh Becher | 34.0% | 22.7% | 19.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.