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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.56+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.07+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.52+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88-1.51vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.76+1.95vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.19-2.67vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.65vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.71-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Jacksonville University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.02Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Miami0.880.3%1st Place
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6.95Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.91Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.33University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.35Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.98Florida State University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 23.5% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 11.7% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Josh Becher | 33.0% | 25.5% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 24.5% | 28.1% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 24.3% | 37.0% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.