← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.56+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College0.07+1.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.88-0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Central Florida-0.52+0.84vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.19-0.77vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-1.71+0.95vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-2.03vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.65vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Jacksonville University0.560.2%1st Place
-
3.98Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
-
2.57University of Miami0.880.3%1st Place
-
4.84University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
-
4.23University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
-
6.95Florida State University-1.710.0%1st Place
-
4.97Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
-
7.35Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.06Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 23.4% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 10.3% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Josh Becher | 33.4% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 19.3% | 26.2% | 24.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 37.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.