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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.88+1.58vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-1.95+5.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.56+0.09vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+0.88vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.07-1.24vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.76+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.19-2.70vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.71-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.52-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Miami0.880.3%1st Place
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7.51Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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3.09Jacksonville University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.88Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.76Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
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7.0Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.3University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.98Florida State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Becher | 31.7% | 25.1% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 41.0% |
| Ella DesChamps | 22.0% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 27.3% | 25.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.5% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.