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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.88+1.55vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+3.13vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.07+0.87vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.56-1.06vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.76+1.92vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.95+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.52-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.19-3.69vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.71-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Miami0.880.3%1st Place
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5.13Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.87Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
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2.94Jacksonville University0.560.2%1st Place
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6.92Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.35Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.31University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.02Florida State University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Becher | 30.9% | 26.2% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Carly Orhan | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ella DesChamps | 24.0% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 22.3% | 27.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 25.7% | 35.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 25.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.